May 27 2011
Important – U.S. Housing!
It appears that U.S. residential house values continue to deteriorate, with one article I read yesterday quoting an average home price deterioration rate of 1% per month. The importance of this to Main Street America seems to me to be obvious – reduced consumer spending, reduced standards of living for retirees in particular and Main Street Americans in general, likely durable goods price deflation, likely more Quantitative Easing by the U.S. Federal Government after QE2, likely further erosion of the U.S.$ (although as I have said in many of these e-mails, I see that as a currency relativity issue which could result in a strengthening of the U.S.$ against the Euro), etc.
With respect to some of these things, I recommend you read and think about the contents of the following three articles:
· ‘Reggie Middleton’s Real Estate Recap: As I Have Clearly Illustrated, It’s a Real Estate Depression!!!‘ – reading time 8 minutes. I think this is an excellent summary of the current U.S. Housing situation. Middleton does, or so I think, good research, and ‘says what he thinks’, not what his readers may want to hear;
· ‘The Housing Double Dip, QE3, and Gold‘ by John Rubino – reading time 4 minutes. Among other things commented on, is a recent study (not specifically identified) that claims that 23% of U.S. mortgagors owe more than the current value of their mortgaged houses. If true, that seems extraordinary to me; and,
· ‘Home Prices, Recession and Retirement‘ - reading time 2 minutes. This article reports on a survey of over 5,000 American workers over 60 years of age with respect to their confidence that they will “have enough money to live comfortably throughout their retirement years”. About 53% of respondents said they were either “not too confident” (32%) or “not confident at all” (21%). Only just over 8% said they were ‘very confident’.
There have to be a lot of disillusioned and psychologically harmed people who have worked hard to achieve the ‘American Dream’, only to find it evaporating in ‘real time’ in a short time span ‘before their very eyes’.
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